In 2018, Trumps zero tolerance immigration policy shook liberals and conservatives alike as they learned about terrified children being ripped from the arms of parents who were now being prosecuted. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Voters in the swing states have said that if protests continue right up to the election, that hurts Trumps chances of re-election And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. These voters formed substantial bases of support for both Biden and Trump. Vaccine distribution was the one storyline the groups with media diets on the left or tending left had heard considerably more about than the right-only or tend-right groups. That's because the 2024 Republican primary will not be a two-person race. Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. At the same time, Trumps vote share among White women without a college degree grew slightly between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. The reality is more nuanced, with a long history of bad approaches to humanitarian migration across presidents and some positive moves toward solutions from Biden, bolstered by a different rhetoric, new alternative legal pathways and attempts at more efficient processing. The pandemic has allowed Biden not only to attack Trump with a bogus but emotionally powerful charge, but also to hide in his basement literally from serious criticism. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. Catholics made up similar shares of Biden and Trump voters (19% and 22%, respectively); in 2016, Catholics made up a slightly higher share of Trump voters compared with Clinton voters (23% vs. 18%). The political split between Americas rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020. In the 2018 election, Democrats substantially narrowed the gap with men (50% of men voted for Democratic candidates, 48% for Republican candidates) while maintaining an 18-point lead among women. Trumps core base is still intensely loyal to him and energetic, and if Trump is able to engage the general public again, can still turn 2020 into a re-election for the President. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. Still, a majority in the right-only media group say it is fair, and just under half say it is accurate (see Chapter 2 for details). Still, a comparison of the 2017 data for the full 100 days and the first 60 days found only minimal percentage differences and no changes in the overall findings (see Appendix B for details.). About See Methodology for details. During these first 60 days, stories were slightly more likely to carry an overall negative assessment of the administration (32%) than a positive one (23%), though just under half were neither positive nor negative (45%).1. The historical comparison is conducted across a smaller universe of outlets that existed during all five study periods, representing a mix of print publications and network evening news. Biden has made a lot of verbal blunders of late, which makes him look mentally troubled An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency In the 2020 election, men again divided nearly evenly (50% Trump, 48% Biden), while Bidens advantage narrowed to 11 points among women (55% to 44%). Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. Among those who voted for Clinton and Trump in 2016, similar shares of each about nine-in-ten also turned out in 2020, and the vast majority remained loyal to the same party in the 2020 presidential contest. Now on to Trumps strengths, according to the voters: Voters think Trump did a great job with the economy with record low unemployment before the pandemic, and now were making a comeback Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. Most swing voters fell they are personally better off than they were 4 years ago, even considering the pandemic. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. To work them into my analysis of Trumps situation, Bidens strengths and opportunities fall into Trumps threats, while Bidens weaknesses and threats fall into Trumps opportunities. Sizable shares of voters across racial and ethnic subgroups cast absentee or mail-in ballots in the 2020 election though there are some differences in voting methods when comparing across groups. But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. See Appendix A for more about how these groups were created and for the breakdown of all of the outlets in this study and their audience classification. The Left is too quick to call many people racist without valid reason Stories were collected from television, radio, digital and print outlets and coded by a team of nine coders trained specifically for this project. Voters dont like Biden blaming Trump for the coronavirus, seeing it as playing politics falsely About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. Americans differ by news diet on which Biden administration issues get too much coverage, which get too little, 7. The poll, released Wednesday, shows the . That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). Under the practice, migrants can be swiftly repatriated without ever seeing a judge. White voters were most likely to say they voted in person on Election Day (30%). The Center has also conducted similar analyses for the early months of the four prior administrations: those of Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. Voters in 2020 sorted along religious lines in ways consistent with recent elections. "How does this offering support the company's mission and objectives?" Ask how the product or service will directly support and enhance the company's mission and strategic objectives. For example, just 17% of the stories in the right-leaning audience group used sources who are experts or members of issue groups, compared with 31% of stories in the mixed-audience outlets and 39% of stories in the left-leaning group. The study also catalogued the presence in each story of 13 possible types of sources. For the survey analysis, we surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 to 14, 2021. White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Biden received the support of 92% of Black voters, nearly the same as Clinton received in 2016 and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House received in 2018. Trump beats Biden, Harris in 2024 match-ups: poll. If Trump can speak and act with better leadership, he can reshape his image and regain support from voters. One of the most pivotal groups in the 2016 election was White voters without a four-year college degree, who were critical to Trumps electoral college victory that year (nationally, he won them by a wide 36-point margin in 2016, 64% to 28%). The coronavirus was very prevalent throughout coverage in the outlets with left-leaning and mixed audiences, with the economy as the top specific topic area. For our analysis of the content published by news organizations in the early days of the Biden administration, we group news organizations by the political party and ideology of their audiences. There could be more than one source within any source category, such as quotes from two members of the administration. Voters broadly want a national discussion on race, but they dislike having politicians running that discussion or setting the rules for it Although turnout was strong, stark demographic differences between voters and nonvoters similar to those seen in past U.S. elections were present in 2020, a pattern familiar to political observers. Trumps honesty appears challenged However, just as in the coverage studied, U.S. adults in the right-only and tend-right diets are most likely to say it has been mainly negative (35% and 32%, respectively, versus 6% of the left-only group and 4% of the tend-left group). Adults younger than 50 made up 45% of all voters but 68% of nonvoters nearly identical to the pattern seen in 2016. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. President Trump has offensive reactions to events Others die trying to circumvent closed-off points of entry. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. Overall, there were shifts in presidential candidate support among some key groups between 2016 and 2020, notably suburban voters and independents. President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. . Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. Most voters think schools should open in the fall and have face-to-face teaching The survey also assessed Americans awareness of the news by asking five fact-based questions related to issues early in the Biden administration. Without the religiously unaffiliated, Trump would have had a 9-point popular vote margin over Biden. That pattern emerged in a number of different aspects of coverage of the Biden administrations first 60 days from the topics of stories to the sources cited in those stories. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. The gender gap in the 2020 election was narrower than it had been in 2016 as Democrats made gains among men and Republicans made gains among women. That gap narrowed to a 17-point margin for Trump in 2020 (57% to 40%). Asian Americans (a relatively small but fast-growing group in the U.S.) made up 4% of voters and an identical share of nonvoting citizens (note: nonvoters in this analysis do not include noncitizens). Trump has grown weary of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media has used to damage his image. Americans sense of the early coverage about the Biden administration tends to be more positive than the tone of the content that was studied. 2. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. However, since the Afghanistan withdrawal, Biden's dipped below his predecessor . In The Times' latest average, President Biden's favorable rating is 44% and his unfavorable rating is 52% a positive net of about -8 percentage points. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. Biden and Trump benefited from similar levels of party loyalty in 2020, with Trump receiving 92% support among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and Biden getting 94% among Democrats and Democratic leaners. Voters approve that Trump is for strong borders, keeping illegal immigrants out By comparison, just 2% of voters chose a third-party candidate in 2020. President Joe Biden (L) waves alongside his son Hunter Biden after attending mass at Holy Spirit Catholic Church in Johns Island, S.C., on Aug. 13, 2022. This is the latest report in Pew Research Centers ongoing investigation of the state of news, information and journalism in the digital age, a research program funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, with generous support from the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation. Four of the same subjects were among the top five most covered topics in the first months of both the Trump administration in 2017 and the Biden administration in 2021: health care, presidential appointees, immigration and political skills. Preferences were more evenly divided among those who cast their ballots in person ahead of Election Day: 52% voted for Trump while 47% voted for Biden. Among nonvoters in 2020, 46% were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican. Outlets with right-leaning audiences presented a primarily negative view of the new Biden administration. NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. None. Again, however, Americans who get their news from sources with right-leaning audiences are more likely than others to say that the overall coverage theyve seen of the Biden administration has been unfair and inaccurate. The presidents management and political approach. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. On the other hand, former Vice President Joe Biden has a different opinion. In 2020, the age profiles of Democratic and Republican voters looked largely similar to 2016. DJ Drummond is the real name of an occasionally real person. In 2020, 46% of Biden voters had at least a college degree; 53% did not have a degree. Most also say the coverage has been largely fair rather than unfair (76% vs. 21%) and accurate rather than inaccurate (69% vs. 26%). Comparably smaller shares of Black (20%) and Hispanic voters (18%) said the same. The conclusion, at least according to the National Pulse, is simple: Voters are having buyer's remorse on Biden - and wish they had given Trump a second term.. Biden isnt a better option why make a different choice if its not a better choice? Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety The average unfavorable rating told a similar story, with Biden at 52.4% and Trump on 55.8%. Donald Trump Victim Goes on MSNBC and CNN .. to Defend Trump! The level of positive coverage was roughly on par with that of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, but lower than for Barack Obama with all four higher than Trump. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? The economy and immigration are the topics with the highest shares saying they are not getting enough attention (44% and 43%, respectively). Black voters were more likely than White or Hispanic voters to say they cast their ballot in person before Election Day (42% of Black voters, vs. 27% of Hispanic voters and 25% of White voters). Trumps cabinet appears dishonest. The media has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be the DNCs choice for President. Some voters believe our country is in a shambles and another four years of President Trump will leave us without any allies in Europe. Now he's implementing system-level changes to make progressive policies permanent. On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. And rural voters remain a significantly larger portion of the Republican electorate. Today, 52% of registered voters say that if the election were held today, they would cast their vote for Biden; a smaller share of registered voters say they would cast their ballot for Trump . With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. Voters who were unaffiliated with any religious tradition (atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as nothing in particular) made up 35% of Biden voters but just 14% of Trump voters in 2020. The Democratic electorate is more evenly divided when it comes to education. Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trump's own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. Finally, what opportunities the voters see for Trump: Voters doubt Biden can do what hes saying hell do While the topic of the economy was covered more by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. Overall, about one-in-five U.S. adults (22%) said that at the time of the survey they had been following news about Biden very closely, with another 44% following it fairly closely. As the chart show, 17.7% of tweets are positive when mentioning Biden while 13.7% when mentioning Trump and 39% negative vs 48% negative respectively.. If this threshold was not met, stories were coded as neither positive nor negative. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. Among outlets with a left-leaning audience, the assessment was a little more positive than negative (29% of stories vs. 19%), while 52% of stories were neither positive nor negative. About a quarter of these (6% of all 2020 voters) showed up two years later in 2018 to cast ballots in the highest-turnout midterm election in decades. Within the Protestant tradition, White evangelicals accounted for 19% of all voters, but a much higher share of Trumps voters (34%). This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). Trump . For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. Stay where you are and apply legally from there.. One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. William A.. From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. There are four key metrics in examining the medias coverage of the early days of a new administration: the topics of those stories, the assessments of the administration, and the framing and the sources used. In looking at how the exposure to news stories lines up with the topics that received more or less coverage in Part 1, the two storylines Americans were most likely to have heard a lot about passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the vaccine align with the two topic areas to receive the most coverage: the economy and health care. I have been generally optimistic about President Trumps campaign up to now, but I think its important to step back and work to be objective. Reflecting these differences, Trump performed much better among voters who cast their ballots in person on Election Day (65% for Trump vs. 33% for Biden). There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. To do this, the survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, on Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel, asked respondents to indicate whether they got political news in the past week from each of 25 national news outlets (the same outlets as in the content study see Appendix A for details). This years analysis finds that coverage of the Biden administration in this smaller sample of news outlets was more likely to carry neither a positive nor a negative assessment compared with the first 60 days of the Trump, Obama, Bush and Clinton administrations. Trump can speak and act with better leadership, he can reshape his image and regain support from voters politically... Than 50 made up 45 % of all voters but 68 % of nonvoters nearly identical to pattern! Others die trying to circumvent closed-off points of entry story of 13 possible types of sources since he became leader! Is more evenly divided when it comes to education a more politically Trump... 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